Might like to start here (link) today is about tossing.
Question is borrowed from arbs with two questions added by my to help link to the fractions aspect of the unit.
coin_toss.docx | |
File Size: | 45 kb |
File Type: | docx |
Draw out as kids work
The Gambler’s Fallacy: The Gambler‟s Fallacy arises when we know the previous results of a series of random events like coin flips. Because we expect the 50/50 rule to appear sooner or later, we incorrectly assume that the probability of getting either heads or tails changes over time. After a long series of heads, many people assume that the probability of tails on the next flip is higher than ½. In reality, the probability of tails is still exactly ½ every time we flip the coin, no matter how many heads preceded it.
Each flip is independent - so it is irreverent what has come before.
Each flip is independent - so it is irreverent what has come before.